Notes on earnings yield
If you take the example of Alphabet Inc (GOOG) - it's current price of 322 USD (Dec 5th 2025) and the earnings per share of the last 12 months (EPS TTM) of 10.15 will give you a earnings yield of 3.15%. For individual stocks, you also need to take the expected growth into consideration since high growth stocks will typically have a lower earnings yield (since growth is calculated in).
You can however use earnings yield to evaluate the overall valuation of a market as a whole e.g. by calculating the earnings yield of the S&P 500 and then comparing it to the 10 year Treasury Bond yield.
Below graph shows the earnings per share (EPS) on the right y-axis vs the price of the S&P 500 on the left axis from Macrotrends where you can also download this data. The areas marked in grey on the graph are recessions.
Source: Macrotrends
Shiller's cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE ratio) is widely recognized as a better valuation tool than the simple price earnings. The CAPE ratio is adjusted for inflation and uses smoothed real earnings to eliminate the fluctuations in net income caused by variations in profit margins over a typical business cycle. Using CAPE will off course require a lot more effort to calculate but in general earnings yield are a proxy for valuation of the market as a whole and are a strong anchor for long-term results (7-10+ years)
Linked articles:
- P-CAPE: a better way for investors to estimate future returns
- White paper - earnings yield as an estimate for expected returns (Platinum Asset Management)
Earnings yield: definition, example and how to calculate it.

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